Аннотация: Economic dead ends of Lukashenko's Belarus. An economic sketch.
Economic dead ends of the Lukashenko's Belarus. An economic sketch.
Lukashenko does not want real political changes. Why? Because under his leadership, for 20-30 years, Belarus has achieved outstanding success, and the prospects for Belarus under his leadership are even brighter.
From this point of view, it is interesting to look at the information that comes in today, January 26, 2021.
(1) Lukashenko speaks on the phone with President of the People's Republic of China Xi Jinping.
(2) And the Prime Minister of Belarus Roman Golovchenko in Moscow discusses the creation of common energy markets.
'The main points of growth in general remain food and wood products.' - This is about cooperation between Belarus and China. - 'The leaders also discussed the topic of increasing the volume of purchases of potash fertilizers by the People's Republic of China from Belarus. The Chinese partners responded to the corresponding request of the Belarusian side with their readiness to actively study this issue. " [unofficial translation](https://www.belta.by/president/view/politicheskoe-sotrudnichestvo-torgovlja-postavka-vaktsiny-lukashenko-i-si-tszinpin-obsudili-kljuchevye-425790-2021/)
And where are the technological and high-tech products that is able to compete on world markets?
Thus, Belarus exports foodstuffs, woodworking products, potash fertilizers to China. All this is very close to the export of raw materials.
And what does Belarus import from China? What are the trading volumes (scales)? - I personally did not meet these data in the message.
But on the other hand, I understand that there is a tendency for the most creative, the most efficient part of the population to leave Belarus.
But there is no need to worry ... 'In addition, during the telephone conversation, the issues of interaction with Chinese financial institutions, the implementation of a number of large infrastructure and investment projects with their support were discussed.
The focus was also on issues of further development and implementation of the potential of the industrial park "Great Stone", which is a key element of Belarus' participation in the "Belt and Road" initiative. Alexander Lukashenko assured that Belarus will traditionally be an active participant in the initiative. Therefore, it is strategically important to activate the landmark cooperation in the Great Stone Industrial Park and significantly expand the presence of leading Chinese companies and banks in Belarus. " [unofficial translation]
So the departure of creative, efficient people from Belarus is not such a big problem. It is planned to 'significantly expand the presence of leading Chinese companies and banks in Belarus' ...
As for the Belarusian NPP, every day of its existence (after commissioning) is a huge cost.
Something needs to be done with this nuclear power plant. If not to ensure a getting of a profit, so, at least, to imitate the hectic activity?
How can this be achieved? We need to supply electricity to somewhere ... The issue of prices, tariffs is important ... But at first, the emphasis is on the very beginning of supplies ...
The theme (the project) was named: the 'creating common energy markets'. [unofficial translation] (https://atom.belta.by/ru/news_ru/view/golovchenko-belarus-rasschityvaet-chto-obschie -energorynki-v-sg-budut-sozdany-bystree-chem-v-eaes-11047? utm_source = yxnews & utm_medium = desktop) It is clear that the respected Roman Golovchenko tryes to recieve not a Russial electricity for Belarus, but, on the contrary, the Belarusian electricity for Russia ...
What is correct is the utmost urgency and the maximum of persistence.
First, the influence of Rosatom is not a constant value. What if the level of influence of Rosatom declines? Of all the Russial organizations, perhaps Rosatom has the greatest interest in making the Belarusian nuclear power plant look problem-free issue for public opinion.
Secondly, the more time elapses since the commissioning of the Belarusian NPP, the less the history of its creation will be recalling, and the more the Belarusian NPP will be perceived as a purely Belarusian facility ... Accordingly, the less concern from the Russial side will be ...
In general,
(a) a food (goods),
(b) a woodworking (the economic direction),
(c) a potash fertilizers,
(d) Belarusian NPP.
A huge potential to compete in global markets.
A huge prospects for the economy of Lukashenko's Belarus ...
January 26, 2021 23:27
Translation from Russian into English: January 27, 2021 16:21.
Владимир Владимирович Залесский 'Экономические тупики лукашенковской Белоруссии. Экономический очерк'.